On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and seven U.S. House seats.

House: Seven seats, currently held by five Republicans and two Democrats. None is rated competitive. One of the seven appears below.

Map:  On June 2, the Supreme Court stayed a lower-court order requiring Alabama to use a court-drawn map with two majority Black districts, allowing the state to use its 2023 map with one majority Black district for 2026. The change required new primaries in four districts on August 11. The underlying challenge remains pending and could affect the map used in 2028.

Senate

AL-SEN: Incumbent Senator Tommy Tuberville is not seeking reelection after announcing his candidacy for governor, leaving the seat open. Representative Barry Moore (R-AL-01) and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson advanced to aJune 16th runoff after leading a seven-candidate May 19th Republican primary in which state Attorney General Steve Marshall finished third. Representative Moore, who was endorsed by President Trump, won the nomination. Moore will face attorney Everett Wess, who won the Democratic runoff. Cook rates the race Solid Republican.

House

AL-02: Representative Shomari Figures secured the Democratic nomination unopposed, while Trump-endorsed State Representative Rhett Marques emerged from a crowded Republican field to earn the nomination. The race is one of the clearest consequences of Alabama’s mid-cycle map change. The Supreme Court granted the state permission in June to revert to its  2023 congressional map, prompting the Legislature to void the results of primaries already under way. Under those lines the state again has a single majority-Black district rather than two, and the Black share of the voting-age population in Figures’ district fell by roughly eight points, giving the GOP a major pickup opportunity in November. Outside groups have spent heavily on Marques’ behalf. Cook lists the district as Likely Republican.

Governor

AL-GOV: Governor Kay Ivey (R) is term-limited, creating an open race for governor. Republican U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville will face former Democratic U.S. Senator Doug Jones in the general election, a rematch of the 2020 Senate race Tuberville won by roughly 20 points. The contest will determine Ivey’s successor in one of the nation’s most reliably Republican states. The race is rated Solid Republican by Cook.

 Attorney General

AL-AG: Attorney General Steve Marshall is term-limited, leaving the seat open. Katherine Robertson, chief counsel to the departing attorney general, won the Republican nomination after defeating former Alabama Supreme Court Justice Jay Mitchell in a June 16th runoff. The race advanced to a runoff after no candidate received a majority in the three-way May 19 primary.Robertson will face Democratic attorney and former state representative Jeff McLaughlin, who ran uncontested. The Crystal Ball has the race at Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), and one U.S. House seat.

House: One seat, currently held by a Republican. It is not rated competitive and appears below.

Senate

AK-SEN: Incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan is seeking a third term. Alaska does not hold separate party primaries; instead, the top four candidates from its nonpartisan primary advance to a ranked-choice general election. Former Democratic Representative Mary Peltola, the first Alaska Native elected to Congress, finished first in the August 18 primary, followed by Sullivan. Peltola has emphasized a centrist profile and crossover appeal, making Alaska a major Democratic pickup target in November. The ballot will also include Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., a former teacher and registered Republican who shares the incumbent’s name and finished third, and Republican Gerald Heikes, who moved into the fourth slot after Democrat David Leslie withdrew. Cook rates the race a Toss Up.

House

AK-AL: Republican Representative Nick Begich and commercial fisherman Bill Hill, an independent, finished first and second in Alaska’s top-four primary and will advance to the November general election, along with Democrat Eric Hafner, and Libertarian Jim McDermott, who advanced after higher finishers withdrew. Begich, a first-term incumbent endorsed by President Trump, led the field, while Hill emerged as the principal alternative after Democratic candidate and Anchorage pastor Matt Schultz suspended his campaign and endorsed Hill.. Alaska sends up to four candidates to a ranked-choice general election. Cook lists the district as Likely Republican.

Governor

AK-GOV: Governor Mike Dunleavy (R) is term-limited, leaving an open contest to succeed him. Former State Representative Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins led Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, narrowly ahead of former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich, with Republicans Bernadette Wilson and former Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson also advancing. Begich later withdrew and endorsed Kreiss-Tomkins, moving former Attorney General Treg Taylor into the top four. Taylor’s place on the ballot was briefly in doubt after Lieutenant Governor Nancy Dahlstrom initially declined to certify his nomination over a financial-disclosure issue, but she reversed that decision on September 4.. The November ballot will feature Kreiss-Tomkins, Wilson, Bronson and Taylor, and the race will be decided by ranked-choice voting. The race is rated a Toss Up by Cook.

On the ballot: Governor, Attorney General, and nine U.S. House seats.

House: Nine seats, currently held by six Republicans and three Democrats. Two are rated competitive: AZ-01 and AZ-06. Three of the nine appear below.

House

AZ-01: Following Republican Representative David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor after serving eight terms in Congress, a large field competed to succeed him. Former Arizona State Representative Amish Shah won the Democratic nomination over former broadcast journalist Marlene Galán-Woods, small business owner Rick McCartney, and small business founder Jonathan Treble. Shah, the party’s 2024 nominee who narrowly lost to Schweikert that year, prevailed despite Galán-Woods carrying the backing of Democratic leaders in Arizona and Washington. On the Republican side, former NFL kicker Jay Feely, endorsed by President Trump, defeated former Arizona State Representative Joseph Chaplik and technology CEO John Trobough. Cook lists the district as a Lean Democrat.

AZ-05: Representative Andy Biggs is leaving the seat to run for governor, creating an open-seat race. Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb, who received President Trump’s endorsement, defeated construction company founder Daniel Keenan in the Republican primary. Three Democrats also sought the nomination, with registered nurse Elizabeth Lee defeating nonprofit executive Chris James and nurse practitioner Brian Hualde. Lamb and Lee will face each other in November. Cook rates the district  Solid Republican.

AZ-06: Incumbent Republican Representative Juan Ciscomani ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while retired U.S. Marine JoAnna Mendoza ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The two will face each other in November in one of Arizona’s two closely divided districts. Mendoza has out-raised the incumbent, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up. 

Governor

AZ-GOV: Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs is seeking a second term after narrowly winning the governership in 2022. Representative Andy Biggs, who chaired the House Freedom Caucus from 2019 to 2022, entered the race with President Trump’s endorsement and won the Republican over Representative David Schweikert. Trump had previously endorsed businesswoman Karrin Taylor Robson, who lost the 2022 Republican primary and withdrew in February. The general election will again test Arizona’s closely divided electorate: Trump carried the state in 2024 by his largest margin among the seven presidential battlegrounds. Cook rates the November contest between Biggs and Hobbs Lean Democrat. 

Attorney General

AZ-AG: Attorney General Kris Mayes (D) is seeking a second term after defeating Republican Abraham Hamadeh by 280 votes in 2022, one of the closest statewide races in Arizona history. Arizona Senate President Warren Petersen won the July 21 Republican primary over Rodney Glassman, a former Tucson city councilman. Sabato's Crystal Ball lists the race as Leans Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor, Attorney General, and four U.S. House seats.

House: Four seats, all currently held by Republicans. None is rated competitive. No Arkansas House race appears below.

Senate

AR-SEN: Senator Tom Cotton will seek to win his third term after defeating two Republican primary challengers. He will face Hallie Shoffner, a sixth-generation farmer who won the Democratic nomination, and Libertarian Jeff Wadlin in a November contest rated Solid Republican.  

Governor

AR-GOV: Republican Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders is seeking a second term after her victory in 2022. She will face Democratic State Senator Fred Love and Libertarian Colt Shelby in the general election as Republicans look to maintain their strong hold on the governor’s office. Cook has the race at Solid Republican. 

Attorney General

AR-AG: Republican Attorney General Tim Griffin is seeking a second term after first winning the office in 2022. A former U.S. representative and lieutenant governor, Griffin drew no primary challenger and faces no opponent of any party in the general election. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Governor (open seat), Attorney General, and 52 U.S. House seats.

House: Fifty-two seats, currently held by eight Republicans, 43 Democrats and one independent. Three are rated competitive: CA-13, CA-22 and CA-48. Six of the 52 appear below.

Map:

Voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, temporarily replacing the state’s redistricting commission-drawn congressional map with a Legislature-drawn map beginning in 2026. A federal court declined to block the new map, and the Supreme Court left it in place for this year’s elections.

House

CA-06: California uses a top-two primary, in which all candidates run on a single ballot and the two highest finishers advance to the general election. Representative Kevin Kiley, who was elected as a Republican and is seeking reelection as an independent, and former State Senator Richard Pan, a pediatrician, advanced from the June primary. California’s Proposition 50 map built the new 6th District from Sacramento County suburbs long represented by Democrat Ami Bera, who has been in Congress since 2013, combined with Republican-leaning Placer County territory from Kiley’s current 3rd District, including Kiley’s hometown. Bera is running in the newly drawn 3^rd District. Kiley topped a fragmented primary field with under a quarter of the vote. The redesigned district favored Democrats in the 2024 presidential election, and Cook rates it Solid Democrat. Kiley is the only current House member seeking reelection as an independent. 

CA-13: Incumbent Democratic Representative Adam Gray, who won the closest House race in the country in 2024, and Republican Kevin Lincoln, a former mayor of Stockton, advanced from the top-two primary. The Central Valley district is the most closely divided in California, decided by a fraction of a point in the 2024 presidential race. Cook lists the district as Lean Democrat.

CA-14: The seat opened after Representative Eric Swalwell left Congress, prompting a special election to fill the remainder of his term. State Senator Aisha Wahab defeated BART Board President and former Dublin Mayor Melissa Hernandez in that contest and was sworn in in September, becoming the first Afghan American elected to Congress. The race tightened after AIPAC-affiliated groups spent heavily in support of Hernandez during the final weeks. Wahab and Hernandez also finished first and second in the regular top-two primary and will face each other again in November for a full two-year term. Cook rates the East Bay district Solid Democrat.

CA-22: Incumbent Representative David Valadao advanced to the general election as the sole Republican in the primary. Progressive Democrat Randy Villegas, endorsed by Senator Bernie Sanders, took the second qualifying position over physician and State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains. Villegas will face Valadao in November in a district Cook rates a Toss Up.

CA-45: Incumbent Democratic Representative Derek Tran and Republican Chuong V. Vo, a former mayor of Cerritos and retired police officer, advanced from the top-two primary. President Trump lost the Orange County district in 2024, and Tran holds a substantial fundraising advantage. Cook lists the district as Likely Democrat.

CA-48: Republican Jim Desmond, who was endorsed by retiring incumbent Representative Darrell Issa, advanced to the general election. On the Democratic side, San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert also advanced. Proposition 50 rebuilt the district almost entirely, drawing only about a third of its residents from the current 48th and the rest from four other districts, turning a safely Republican seat into one President Trump lost. Outside groups spent heavily in support of von Wilpert during the primary, and Cook rates the race Lean Democrat. 

Governor

CA-GOV: Governor Gavin Newsom’s term limit created one of the nation’s highest-profile open gubernatorial races. Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra and billionaire activist Tom Steyer led the Democratic field, while former Representative Katie Porter, an early frontrunner, faded to a distant fifth. Representative Eric Swalwell also ran, but he withdrew in April and resigned from Congress. On the Republican side, former Fox News host Steve Hilton, who entered the race in April 2025 and won President Trump’s endorsement a year later, consolidated support against Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Becerra and Hilton advanced to the general election, where California’s Democratic advantage makes Becerra the favorite. Cook has the race at Solid Democrat.

 Attorney General

CA-AG: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Rob Bonta is seeking a second full term. In the June 2 primary, Bonta finished well ahead of former Huntington Beach City Attorney Michael Gates, a Republican, and both advanced to the general election. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and eight U.S. House seats.

House: Eight seats, currently held by four Republicans and four Democrats. Two are rated competitive. Three of the eight appear below. 

Senate

CO-SEN: Incumbent Senator John Hickenlooper won the primary against a progressive Democratic challenger, Colorado State Senator Julie Gonzales. Hickenlooper will face Colorado State Senator Mark Baisley, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary. Cook lists the race as Solid Democrat. 

House

CO-01: Representative Diana DeGette was defeated in the Democratic primary by Melat Kiros, a 29-year-old lawyer and democratic socialist, ending DeGette’s tenure after 15 terms in Congress. Kiros, who immigrated from Ethiopia as an infant and was endorsed by Senator Bernie Sanders, the Democratic Socialists of America, and Justice Democrats, had already denied DeGette the top ballot line at the Denver party assembly in the spring, taking about two-thirds of the delegate vote in the closest call DeGette had faced since her first election in 1996. Outside groups spent more opposing Kiros than supporting her. Republican Christy Peterson, an office manager and accountant at a construction company, will face Kiros in November. The district is rated Solid Democrat by Cook.

CO-05: First-term Republican Representative Jeff Crank will face Democrat Jessica Killin, a former Army captain and paratrooper who later worked at USAA and served as chief of staff to Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff. Killin won the June 30 Democratic primary and entered the general election with more cash on hand than Crank. Cook rates the race Lean Republican.

CO-08: State Representative Manny Rutinel defeated former State Representative Shannon Bird  in the Democratic primary. A third candidate, Marine veteran Evan Munsing, withdrew in late May after ballots had already gone out and still drew a small share of the vote. Rutinel, an environmental attorney, will face first-term Republican Representative Gabe Evans in November as Democrats seek to flip the seat. It is Colorado’s only seat rated a Toss Up by Cook. 

Governor

CO-GOV: Governor Jared Polis (D) is term-limited, leaving Colorado with an open gubernatorial race. Christian leader Victor Marx won the June 30 Republican primary by 2,466 votes over State Senator Barbara Kirkmeyer, with State Representative Scott Bottoms a distant third. Marx will face Democratic Attorney General Phil Weiser, who beat sitting U.S. Senator Michael Bennet for the Democratic nomination, in the general election to determine the state’s next governor. Cook rates this race Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

CO-AG: Attorney General Phil Weiser is term-limited and running for governor, leaving the seat open. Four attorneys vied for the Democratic nomination, with sitting Secretary of State Jena Griswold emerging as the nominee. On the Republican side, District Attorney Michael Allen defeated retired U.S. Army attorney David Willson. The Crystal Ball has the race at Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Governor, Attorney General, and five U.S. House seats.

House: Five seats, all currently held by Democrats. None is rated competitive. One of the five appears below. 

House

CT-01: Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin defeated longtime incumbent Representative John Larson and two other challengers in the Democratic primary. Physician Amy Chai secured the Republican nomination unopposed. The contest was Larson’s first primary challenge since he was elected in 1998. Bronin had narrowly defeated the 14-term incumbent for the state party endorsement in May, turning the safely Democratic seat into a prominent generational and establishment contest. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat. 

Governor

CT-GOV: Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont is seeking a third term after defeating State Representative Josh Elliott in the August 11 primary, the first primary challenge to a sitting Connecticut governor in 48 years. He will face Republican State Senator Ryan Fazio, who secured his party’s nomination at the May convention after former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart, then a leading contender, suspended her campaign and endorsed him. Democrats have held the governorship since 2011. Cook lists the race as Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

CT-AG: Incumbent Attorney General William Tong, seeking a third term, advanced as the Democratic nominee after running uncontested. Tong was the first Asian American elected to statewide office in Connecticut, and has served as president of the National Association of Attorneys General. He will face Republican attorney John Bolton, who also ran unopposed. The race is rated Safe Democratic by the Crystal Ball.

On the ballot: Senate, Attorney General, and one U.S. House seat.

House: One seat, currently held by a Democrat. It is not rated competitive, and no Delaware House race appears below. 

Senate

DE-SEN: Senator Chris Coons is seeking his third full term in the Senate. Coons defeated three challengers on the Democratic side: artificial intelligence systems builder Jeff Appelhans, small business owner Mary Louve, and business executive Eric Hansen, who appeared on the ballot as E. No-Trump Hansen after a legal name change. On the Republican side, former state senator Mike Katz defeated military veteran John Shulli for the Republican nomination. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

DE-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Kathy Jennings won the Democratic primary in her bid for a third term, defeating Dwayne Bensing, legal director of the ACLU of Delaware, and business owner Patty Rickman. No Republican filed by the regular deadline, so the state party used Delaware’s ballot-vacancy procedure to nominate David C. “Dave” Graham, a Department of Finance official and longtime CPA. Jennings will face Graham on November 3^rd in a race Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General, and 28 U.S. House seats.

House: Twenty-eight seats, currently held by 20 Republicans and eight Democrats. Five are rated competitive: FL-13, FL-14, FL-22, FL-25, and FL-27. Eight of the 28 appear below.

Map: The Legislature approved a new congressional map in April 2026, which Governor Ron DeSantis signed on May 4. A challenge under Florida’s Fair Districts provisions remains pending, but courts declined to block the map for the 2026 elections, leaving the new districts in place. 

Senate

FL-SEN: Marco Rubio resigned his Senate seat in early 2025 to become Secretary of State, and Governor Ron DeSantis appointed Ashley Moody to fill the vacancy. Because Rubio’s term runs through January 2029, the special election will decide only its final two years. Moody won the Republican nomination on August 18th and will face Democratic State Representative Angie Nixon, who upset presumed front-runner Alexander Vindman, a former National Security Council director for European affairs and retired Army lieutenant colonel. Cook lists the race as Solid Republican. 

House

FL-07: Navy veteran and former NASA Chief of Staff Bale Dalton defeated fellow Navy veteran Marialana Kinter and former Representative Alan Grayson in the Democratic primary. Former television news anchor Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Representative Cory Mills in the Republican primary. Mills entered the primary amid a House Ethics Committee investigation and allegations of domestic violence and other misconduct, which he denied. Although President Trump had endorsed Mills in February, he omitted him from a round of Florida endorsements shortly before the primary, while several prominent Florida Republicans backed Elijah or publicly withdrew their support from Mills. After Elijah’s victory, Trump endorsed him and said he had privately urged Mills to leave the race. Elijah’s victory made Mills one of a handful of sitting House members to lose renomination this cycle. Elijah will face Dalton in a district that continues to favor Republicans, although Dalton has out-raised him substantially. Cook has the district at Likely Republican.

FL-13: Republican Representative Anna Paulina Luna is seeking a third term and will face retired Army Brigadier General Leela Gray, who won the August Democratic primary. Democrats have targeted the seat amid a more favorable national environment, though Luna maintains a fundraising advantage. Cook rates the race Lean Republican

FL-14: Representative Kathy Castor, who has served for two decades, will face Republican Mike Beltran, who emerged from an eight-candidate primary. Mid-cycle redistricting severed the district’s cross-bay link to Pinellas County and drew it entirely inside Hillsborough County, turning a safely Democratic seat into one President Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Castor and Beltran are closely matched in fundraising. Cook rates the district a Toss Up.

FL-19: . Representative Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial campaign created the open seat in the heavily Republican southwest Florida district. Attorney Victor Arias won the Democratic nomination over former air traffic controller Howard Sapp and accountant Robert Neeld. In the Republican primary, conservative radio station owner Jim Schwartzel emerged from a field of ten that included former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and Chris Collins, who was pardoned by President Trump after pleading guilty to a felony. Schwartzel prevailed despite President Trump’s late endorsement of former Commerce Department appointee Catalina Lauf, marking one of relatively few defeats for a Trump-endorsed candidate this cycle. Cook lists the district as Solid Republican.

FL-20: Representative Debbie Wasserman Schultz defeated former Broward County Mayor Dale Holness, Representative Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and and two other candidates in the Democratic primary. Businessman Brent Andersen won the Republican nomination. Mid-cycle redistricting pushed Wasserman Schultz into the newly drawn 20th District, a heavily Democratic, majority-minority seat with a long history of Black representation. Her victory came despite criticism from some Black elected officials over her decision to run in the district. Cherfilus-McCormick, who resigned in April and is under federal indictment on charges of diverting FEMA disaster funds, allegations she has called baseless, still drew thousands of votes. The district is rated Solid Democrat by Cook.

FL-22: Businessman and retired Marine Casey Askar emerged from a seven-candidate Republican primary, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic nomination. Democratic Representative Lois Frankel’s decision to run in the neighboring 23rd District, after the new Republican-drawn map was signed in May, left the 22nd open. President Trump carried the district as newly drawn by double digits, and the two candidates are closely matched financially. Cook rates the district Toss Up.

FL-25: Representative Jared Moskowitz defeated democratic socialist and former union organizer Oliver Larkin in the Democratic primary to secure renomination. Former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer emerged from a five-candidate Republican field. The Democratic primary pitted pro-Israel incumbent Moskowitz against DSA-backed progressive challenger Larkin, with Moskowitz’s victory representing a win for establishment-aligned Democratic groups. Under Florida’s new congressional map, Moskowitz is now defending a district President Trump carried in 2024. Outside groups have spent heavily on Singer’s behalf, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up.

FL-27: Incumbent Republican Representative Maria Elvira Salazar will face Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, a longtime Miami television journalist who won the August Democratic primary. Salazar secured renomination comfortably and enters the general election with a substantial fundraising advantage. The Miami-Dade County district, which includes parts of the City of Miami, Coral Gables and Kendall, remains Republican-leaning but has become more competitive as the national environment has shifted. Cook rates the race Lean Republican. 

Governor

FL-GOV: Governor Ron DeSantis (R) is term-limited, setting up an open-seat race. In the August 18th primary, U.S. Representative Byron Donalds won the Republican nomination in a six-candidate field that also included Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, investor James Fishback and former House Speaker Paul Renner, while Democrats nominated former U.S. Representative David Jolly, a onetime Republican congressman. Cook lists the race as Lean Republican. 

Attorney General

FL-AG: Incumbent Attorney General James Uthmeier is seeking a full term after Governor Ron DeSantis appointed him in February 2025 to succeed now-Senator Ashley Moody. Uthmeier had been DeSantis’s chief of staff and managed his 2024 presidential campaign. Both nominees ran unopposed, with former State Senator José Javier Rodríguez, an Assistant Secretary of Labor under President Biden, taking the Democratic nomination. Uthmeier has secured endorsements from President Trump and the Florida Republican Party. The race is Likely Republican on the Crystal Ball’s ratings.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and 14 U.S. House seats.

House: Fourteen seats, currently held by nine Republicans and five Democrats. None is rated competitive. One of the 14 appears below.

Map: Governor Brian Kemp ruled out redrawing the state’s congressional map for 2026 but called a June special session to consider changes for 2028. Republican legislative leaders ultimately declined to redraw the lines, citing ongoing litigation. The congressional map adopted in December 2023 remains in place for the 2026 elections. 

Senate

GA-SEN: Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff is seeking reelection and will face Representative Mike Collins in November. Collins secured the Republican nomination in a June 16 runoff against former football coach Derek Dooley after the two finished first and second in the May 19 primary; Representative Buddy Carter, who gave up his House seat to run for Senate, finished a close third. Governor Brian Kemp backed Dooley, while President Trump endorsed Collins shortly before the runoff. Under Georgia law, if neither Ossoff nor Collins clears 50% on November 3rd, the race will proceed to a December 1st runoff. Cook rates the race Likely Democrat. 

House

GA-13: The death of longtime Representative David Scott in April triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. Former Gwinnett County School Board Chairman Everton Blair defeated Scott’s daughter, design consultant Marcye Scott, in the August runoff after overcoming her lead in the first round of voting. Blair was sworn in on September 2 and will only serve through January. For the full two-year term beginning next year, State Representative Jasmine Clark won the Democratic nomination and will face Republican Air Force veteran Jonathan Chavez in November. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat.

Governor

GA-GOV: Governor Brian Kemp’s term limit created an open race in a state President Trump narrowly carried in 2024. Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones, who had President Trump’s endorsement, and health care executive Rick Jackson, led a Republican field that also included Attorney General Chris Carr and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. Jones and Jackson advanced to a June 16 runoff, which Jackson won. On the Democratic side, former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms secured her party’s nomination. Bottoms will face Jackson in a state that has elected only Republican governors since 2002. Under Georgia law, if neither candidate clears 50% on November 3, the race goes to a December 1 runoff. Cook rates the race as a Toss Up. 

Attorney General

GA-AG: Attorney General Chris Carr’s decision to run for governor left an open seat. State Senator Brian Strickland won the Republican nomination, and State Representative Tanya Miller, a former federal prosecutor who chairs the House Democratic Caucus, won the Democratic nomination. Miller would be Georgia’s first Black female attorney general if elected. The race is Leans Republican on the Crystal Ball’s ratings. Because Georgia requires a majority to win outright, a December 1 runoff is possible if neither clears 50% on November 3.

On the ballot: Governor and two U.S. House seats.

House: Two seats, both currently held by Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Hawaii House race appears below. 

Governor

HI-GOV: Democratic Governor Josh Green is seeking a second term in one of the nation’s most Democratic states. Green won the August 8 Democratic primary, while Republicans nominated business owner Gary Cordery, who won over entrepreneur Ken Fujiyama. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor, Attorney General, and two U.S. House seats.

House: Two seats, both currently held by Republicans. None is rated competitive. No Idaho House race appears below. 

Senate

ID-SEN: Senator Jim Risch is seeking a fourth term after winning the Republican primary over three challengers. His principal challenger in November will be independent Todd Achilles, an Army veteran and former Democratic state legislator who has mounted a well-funded campaign outside the two major parties. Consultant David Roth initially won the Democratic nomination but faced pressure from prominent Democrats to step aside and consolidate opposition to Risch behind Achilles. Roth ended his campaign in July and formally withdrew from the ballot in August, although he did not endorse Achilles. With no Democratic nominee, the November ballot will feature Risch, Achilles, independent Natalie Fleming and Libertarian Matt Loesby. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

Governor

ID-GOV: Republican Governor Brad Little is seeking a third term after comfortably winning reelection in 2022. He will face Democratic attorney Terri Pickens, independent former Idaho Supreme Court Justice John Stegner, Libertarian Paul Sand and Constitution Party candidate Pro-Life, who legally changed his name from Marvin Richardson. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

Attorney General

ID-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Raúl Labrador is seeking a second term after running uncontested in the Republican primary. A former U.S. congressman, Labrador won the office in 2022 by unseating five-term incumbent Lawrence Wasden in the Republican primary, campaigning as a more activist attorney general. He will face Democratic attorney Lori Hickman in the general election. The Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor, Attorney General, and 17 U.S. House seats.

House: Seventeen seats, currently held by three Republicans and 14 Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Illinois House race appears below.

Map: State lawmakers considered mid-decade redistricting but did not enact a new congressional map for 2026. The map adopted after the 2020 census remains in place and was used for the March primary. 

Senate

IL-SEN: Senator Dick Durbin announced his retirement after three decades in the Senate, creating an open seat. Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton won the Democratic nomination in a competitive March primary, defeating Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Former Illinois Republican Party Chairman Don Tracy won the Republican nomination and will face Stratton in November. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

Governor

IL-GOV: Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker is seeking a third term and will face his 2022 opponent, former Republican State Senator Darren Bailey, in the general election. It is the first Illinois gubernatorial rematch since 1986. Democrats aim to retain control of the governor’s office in a state that has consistently voted Democratic in recent statewide elections. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

IL-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Kwame Raoul is seeking a third term, running uncontested in the March Democratic primary. Raoul was appointed in 2004 to the Illinois Senate seat vacated by Barack Obama, and succeeded Lisa Madigan as attorney general in 2019 after her sixteen years in the office. He will face Republican Bob Fioretti, a former Chicago alderman and two-time candidate for Cook County State’s Attorney, who also ran uncontested. The race is Safe Democratic on the Crystal Ball’s ratings.

On the ballot: Nine U.S. House seats. No statewide office is on the ballot in 2026.

House: Nine seats, currently held by seven Republicans and two Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Indiana House race appears below.

Map: Indiana lawmakers considered a mid-decade congressional redraw for 2026, but the state Senate rejected the proposed map by a 31–19 vote in December 2025. No replacement map was enacted, so the congressional map adopted in 2021 remains in place.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor (open seat), Attorney General, and four U.S. House seats.

House: Four seats, all currently held by Republicans. Three are rated competitive: IA-01, IA-02 and IA-03. Three of the four appear below. 

Senate

IA-SEN: Senator Joni Ernst’s decision not to seek a third term created an open seat. Representative Ashley Hinson won the Republican nomination, while State Representative Josh Turek, a Paralympic gold medalist, defeated State Senator Zach Wahls on the Democratic side. Although Iowa has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles, Cook rates the race a Toss Up. 

House

IA-01: Former Democratic State Representative Christina Bohannan will face Trump-backed incumbent Republican Representative Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the November general election. It is their third meeting. Bohannan lost by a wide margin in 2022 and by fewer than 800 votes in 2024, the second-closest House race in the country that year by percentage, which went to a recount. The two are almost exactly matched in fundraising, and an independent, Michael Bridgford, is also on the ballot. Cook rates the district a Toss Up.

IA-02: Democratic State Representative Lindsay James emerged from a competitive primary and will face Trump-backed former Iowa State Representative Joe Mitchell in the general election. Mitchell, who was elected to the Iowa House in 2018 at age 21, one of the youngest people ever elected to the Iowa Legislature, is seeking the open seat created by Republican Representative Ashley Hinson’s U.S. Senate campaign. Cook lists the district as Lean Republican.

IA-03: Trump-backed incumbent Republican Representative Zach Nunn will face Democratic State Senator Sarah Trone Garriott in the November general election. Trone Garriott has out-raised the incumbent, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up. 

Governor

IA-GOV: Governor Kim Reynolds’ decision not to seek a third term created an open race. State Auditor Rob Sand secured the Democratic nomination unopposed, while Representative Randy Feenstra entered the Republican primary with President Trump’s endorsement before losing to businessman Zach Lahn by 1,644 votes. Although Iowa has not elected a Democratic governor since 2006, Democrats point to strong performances in recent special legislative elections as evidence the race could be more competitive than expected. Cook rates the race Lean Democrat. 

Attorney General

IA-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Brenna Bird (R) is seeking a second term. Bird won the office in 2022 by narrowly unseating Tom Miller, who had served nearly forty years and was the longest-serving state attorney general in American history. She will face former State Representative Nate Willems, who ran uncontested in the Democratic primary. Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists the race as Leans Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General, and four U.S. House seats.

House: Four seats, currently held by three Republicans and one Democrat. None is rated competitive. No Kansas House race appears below.

Map: A petition to force a special session fell about 10 signatures short in November 2025. In January the House speaker said he would not bring a map to a vote as Republicans lacked the votes to override Governor Laura Kelly’s promised veto, and no new map was enacted. 

Senate

KS-SEN: Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall won the primary on August 4th to secure renomination. Adam Hamilton, the founding pastor of the United Methodist Church of the Resurrection in Leawood, the largest United Methodist congregation in the United States, won the Democratic nomination in a crowded field of eleven candidates. Hamilton explored the race as an independent before entering the Democratic primary and has campaigned as a moderate. The race is rated Lean Republican by Cook. 

Governor

KS-GOV: Democratic Governor Laura Kelly’s term limit created an open race and one of Republicans’ best opportunities to regain a governorship. Senate President Ty Masterson won the Republican nomination from a seven-candidate field that included financial-services executive Philip Sarnecki, Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt and Secretary of State Scott Schwab. On the Democratic side, State Senator Cindy Holscher defeated fellow State Senator Ethan Corson, who had been endorsed by Kelly, and Overland Park Mayor Curt Skoog. Masterson and Holscher will face each other in November. Republicans hold a nearly two-to-one voter registration advantage over Democrats statewide, and Cook rates the race Lean Republican. 

Attorney General

KS-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Kris Kobach (R) is seeking a second term and ran uncontested in the Republican primary. He will face Democrat Chris Mann, a former police officer and prosecutor, who also ran uncontested. The two met in 2022, when Kobach won by 1.6 points in the closest statewide race on the Kansas ballot that year, returning to office after losing the 2018 governor’s race and the 2020 Republican Senate primary. Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists the race as Leans Republican.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat) and six U.S. House seats.

House: Six seats, currently held by five Republicans and one Democrat. None is rated competitive. No Kentucky House race appears below.

Map: No redraw was attempted. Section 33 of the Kentucky Constitution bars mid-decade congressional redistricting. 

Senate

KY-SEN: Senator Mitch McConnell, the former Senate Majority Leader, announced his retirement after more than four decades representing Kentucky. Republican Representative Andy Barr won President Trump’s endorsement and won the May 19th primary against former Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Democrats nominated former State Representative Charles Booker, who ran for Senate against Rand Paul in 2022. Barr holds a fundraising advantage over Booker, and Cook rates the race Solid Republican.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat) and six U.S. House seats.

House: Six seats, currently held by four Republicans and two Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Louisiana House race appears below.

Map: On April 29, the Supreme Court struck down Louisiana’s 2024 congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the governor to halt the U.S. House primaries already underway. The Legislature adopted a replacement map in May, and candidates requalified under the new districts in August. All six House races will now use an open primary on November 3, followed by a December 12 runoff if no candidate clears 50 percent. The Senate race is unaffected. 

Senate

LA-SEN: Incumbent Senator Bill Cassidy launched his reelection bid in August 2025. An outspoken critic of the administration, Cassidy did not receive President Trump’s endorsement and finished outside the top two in the Republican primary, meaning he will leave the Senate in January 2027. The June 27th Republican runoff paired Representative Julia Letlow with Louisiana Treasurer John Fleming. Letlow, who received President Trump’s endorsement, won the runoff. In the Democratic runoff the same day, farmer Jamie Davis defeated Navy veteran Gary Crockett, after leading a three-way May 16th primary. Crockett had edged Nick Albares for the second runoff spot by fewer than 300 votes. Cook rates the race Solid Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), and two U.S. House seats.

House: Two seats, both currently held by Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Maine House race appears below. 

Senate

ME-SEN: Republican Senator Susan Collins is seeking a sixth term in one of the cycle’s most closely watched races. Democrat Graham Platner won the June 9 primary, after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in April but remained on the ballot. Platner withdrew on July 8 after POLITICO reported an allegation of sexual assault, which he denied. Maine Democrats then nominated a replacement by convention, choosing former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson on July 25. Jackson entered the race with roughly three months to build a campaign and a large financial disadvantage. Cook rates the race a Toss Up. 

Governor

ME-GOV: With Governor Janet Mills term-limited, Maine will elect a new governor for the first time since 2018. Democrats nominated former Maine House Speaker Hannah Pingree, while Republicans selected former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Robert Charles. They will be joined on the November ballot by independent Rick Bennett, a state senator and former Maine Republican Party chair who left the party in 2025 and qualified by petition. Cook lists the race as Solid Democrat.

On the ballot: Governor, Attorney General, and eight U.S. House seats.

House: Eight seats, currently held by one Republican and seven Democrats. None is rated competitive. One of the eight appears below.

Map: Maryland lawmakers considered a new congressional map for 2026, but although it passed the House in February, the Senate did not take it up. Instead, lawmakers approved a constitutional amendment in an August special session that could clear the way for another redraw before 2028. A lower court initially blocked the amendment from the November ballot, but the Supreme Court of Maryland restored it on September 3. The congressional map adopted in 2022 remains in place for the 2026 elections. 

House

MD-06: Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney faced former Representative David Trone, whom she succeeded in Congress, in the Democratic primary. Following an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, Trone sought to return to his former House seat and spent approximately $25 million of his personal wealth on the campaign. Delaney ultimately won the Democratic nomination. Perennial candidate and former state delegate Robin Ficker, who was disbarred in 2022 and has sought reinstatement, won the Republican primary and will face Delaney in November in the most closely divided district in Maryland. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat. 

Governor

MD-GOV: Democratic Governor Wes Moore is seeking a second term and will face former Republican State Delegate Dan Cox in the general election, a rematch of 2022, when Moore defeated Cox by more than 30 points. Moore won the June 23 Democratic primary comfortably, running again with Lieutenant Governor Aruna Miller. Republicans are attempting to regain an office held by Republican Larry Hogan from 2015 to 2023, though Cook rates the race Solid Democrat.

Attorney General

MD-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Anthony Brown (D) is seeking a second term. Brown, Maryland’s first Black attorney general, served as lieutenant governor from 2007 to 2015 and lost the 2014 governor’s race to Larry Hogan before representing the state’s 4th district in Congress. He will face former Bel Air Town Commissioner Jim Rutledge, the Republican nominee. Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists the race as Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor, Attorney General, and nine U.S. House seats.

House: Nine seats, all currently held by Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Massachusetts house races appear below. 

Senate

MA-SEN: Senator Ed Markey is another term after defeating Representative Seth Moulton in the September 1 Democratic primary. The contest centered heavily on generational change, with the 80-year-old Markey facing the 47-year-old Moulton, a six-term House member. Markey will face Marine veteran John Deaton, who was unopposed in the Republican primary. Cook rates this race Solid Democrat. 

Governor

MA-GOV: Businessman Michael Minogue, the former CEO of a medical device company, won the September 1 Republican primary decisively over former MBTA acting general manager Brian Shortsleeve. Minogue entered the race as a political newcomer in October 2025, took the state party’s endorsement at its April convention, and has poured millions of his own money into the campaign. He will challenge Democratic Governor Maura Healey, who was unopposed in her primary and is seeking a second term in a heavily Democratic state. The race is Solid Democrat on Cook’s ratings. 

Attorney General

MA-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Andrea Campbell (D), the first Black woman elected to statewide office in Massachusetts, is seeking a second term. Her Republican opponent, general practice litigator Mike Walsh, was unopposed in the September 1 primary but reached it only after litigation. The State Ballot Law Commission disqualified him in June over fraudulent nomination signatures, and a Superior Court judge restored him in July on the grounds that the objection had been filed improperly. The state’s highest court declined to disturb that ruling. The Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and 13 U.S. House seats.

House: Thirteen seats, currently held by seven Republicans and six Democrats. Three are rated competitive: MI-04, MI-07 and MI-10. Four of the 13 appear below. 

Senate

MI-SEN: Senator Gary Peters’ retirement created an open seat and one of Democrats’ most competitive primaries this cycle. Representative Haley Stevens (D-MI), State Senator Mallory McMorrow, who suspended her campaign in July but remained on the ballot, and former Wayne County Health Director Abdul El-Sayed competed for the Democratic nomination. El-Sayed received the endorsement of Senator Bernie Sanders. Republicans coalesced around former Congressman Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost Michigan’s 2024 Senate race. El-Sayed won the August 4 primary and faces Rogers in November. Cook rates the race a Toss Up. 

House

MI-04: Incumbent Republican Representative Bill Huizenga secured renomination and will face Democratic State Senator Sean McCann in November. President Trump carried the western Michigan district in 2024, and Cook rates the race Lean Republican.

MI-07: Progressive organizer William Lawrence defeated former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and retired Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam in the Democratic primary. Incumbent Republican Representative Tom Barrett secured renomination unopposed. Lawrence’s victory represented a win for progressive Democrats; backed by Senator Bernie Sanders and other progressive leaders, he will face first-term Representative Barrett in November. Barrett holds a commanding fundraising advantage, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up.

MI-10: Former prosecutor Christina Hines defeated Tim Greimel and Eric Chung in the Democratic primary. Trump-endorsed Mike Bouchard Jr., an Army National Guard officer and Bronze Star recipient, won the Republican nomination. He is the son of longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard. The result sets up a competitive November contest for the open suburban Detroit seat vacated by Representative John James’ run for governor. Cook rates the district a Toss Up.

MI-13: State Representative Donavan McKinney defeated incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar in the Democratic primary while T.P. Nykoriak secured the Republican nomination unopposed. McKinney defeated an incumbent backed by senior House Democratic leaders while receiving support from Senator Bernie Sanders, Representative Rashida Tlaib, and several members of the Congressional Black Caucus. Cook lists the district as Solid Democrat. 

Governor

MI-GOV: Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s term limit created an open race in one of the nation’s top battleground states. Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson won the August 4 Democratic primary, while Representative John James emerged from a four-way Republican field. Former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan mounted an independent bid but withdrew in May. The race is rated Lean Democrat by Cook.

Attorney General

MI-AG: Attorney General Dana Nessel’s term limit created an open race. Michigan nominates attorney general candidates at party conventions rather than by primary, and both parties completed their nominations in August. Democrats chose Washtenaw County Prosecutor Eli Savit over Oakland County Prosecutor Karen McDonald, and Republicans chose Eaton County Prosecutor Doug Lloyd over defense attorney Kevin Kijewski. Savit will face Lloyd in November in a race the Crystal Ball rates as a Toss Up.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor (open seat), Attorney General, and eight U.S. House seats.

House: Eight seats, currently held by four Republicans and four Democrats. None is rated competitive. One of the eight appears below. 

Senate

MN-SEN: The retirement of Democratic Senator Tina Smith created an open seat in a state Democrats have carried by shrinking margins. In the August 11th primary, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan defeated Representative Angie Craig, while former broadcaster Michele Tafoya won the Republican nomination. Cook rates the race Likely Democrat. 

House

MN-02: Former State Senator Matt Little emerged from a six-candidate Democratic field that included State Senator Matt Klein and State Representative Kaela Berg to secure the nomination. State Senator Eric Pratt won the Republican nomination unopposed. Representative Angie Craig’s Senate campaign created an open seat in the closely divided suburban and exurban district that Cook rates as Likely Democrat. 

Governor

MN-GOV: Governor Tim Walz (D) launched a bid for a third term in September 2025 but ended his campaign on January 5, 2026, amid growing scrutiny over fraud in state-administered programs. Walz said he could not give a reelection campaign his full attention while addressing the issue. U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar entered the race later that month and won the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination in the August 11 primary. On the Republican side, State House Speaker Lisa Demuth defeated a field that included Trump-endorsed MyPillow founder Mike Lindell and businessman Kendall Qualls, who had received the state Republican Party’s endorsement. Demuth and Klobuchar will face each other in November in the race to succeed Walz. Cook rates the contest Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

MN-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Keith Ellison (D) is seeking a third term after winning by four points in 2018 and by less than a point in 2022. He held off a Democratic primary challenge from Minneapolis attorney Dave Madgett in August, and will face Minneapolis trial lawyer and former U.S. Army JAG Corps officer Ron Schutz, who ran uncontested in the Republican primary. The Crystal Ball rates the race a Toss Up.

On the ballot: Senate and four U.S. House seats.

House: Four seats, currently held by three Republicans and one Democrat. None is rated competitive. No Mississippi House race appears below.

Map: No congressional redraw. The 2024 to 2026 litigation concerned state legislative districts. Governor Reeves has said he wants a map eliminating the 2nd District, but not before 2026. 

Senate

MS-SEN: Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith is seeking reelection and emerged as the Republican nominee after facing one challenger. Hyde-Smith will face District Attorney Scott Colom, who won the Democratic nomination on March 10th over two opponents, and independent Ty Pinkins. Cook rates the race Solid Republican.

On the ballot: Eight U.S. House seats. No statewide office is on the ballot in 2026.

House: Eight seats, currently held by six Republicans and two Democrats. None is rated competitive. One of the eight appears below.

Map: Missouri lawmakers approved a new congressional map in 2025, but opponents collected enough signatures to put the map before voters in a referendum. On September 3, the Missouri Supreme Court ruled that the referendum prevented the new map from taking effect, meaning the state should use its previous 2022 districts for the November election. The dispute then moved to federal court because Missouri had already conducted its August congressional primaries under the 2025 map. On September 21, the Eighth Circuit ruled that switching back to the 2022 districts between the primary and general election would be unconstitutional and ordered use of the 2025 map, but paused its ruling for one week to allow an appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court. For now, election officials are proceeding with the 2022 districts, but which map will govern the November election remains unresolved. 

House

MO-01: Representative Wesley Bell defeated former Representative Cori Bush and three other candidates in the Democratic primary. Republican Paul Berry III defeated Andrew Jones to secure his party’s nomination, and Libertarian Tom Schmitz is also on the November ballot. Bell, a union-backed moderate, first defeated Bush in 2024 in a race shaped by substantial outside spending, and his victory in the rematch prevented progressive organizations backing Bush from returning her to Congress. Bell remains the Democratic nominee regardless of which map is ultimately used in November. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat) and two U.S. House seats.

House: Two seats, both currently held by Republicans. One is rated competitive. One Montana House race appears below. 

Senate

MT-SEN: Senator Steve Daines announced shortly before the March filing deadline that he would not seek reelection, leaving the Senate seat open. Former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme won the Republican nomination after receiving Daines’ and President Trump’s endorsement. Five Democrats ran for the party’s nomination with Alani Bankhead emerging as the winner. However, much of the Democratic party is backing an independent Senate bid by Seth Bodnar, the former president of the University of Montana. Bankhead, whose primary win was powered by more than $2.5 million from a newly formed outside group that has since left the state, refused to withdraw before the August deadline, so both remain on the November ballot. Cook rates this race Solid Republican.

House

MT-01: Representative Ryan Zinke’s retirement created an open race in western Montana. Radio host and Army veteran Aaron Flint was endorsed by President Trump and won the Republican nomination, while smokejumper and union leader Sam Forstag won in a four-candidate Democratic primary. Flint entered the race with Zinke's endorsement, while Forstag has drawn national Democratic support. The district has become one of the more competitive Republican-held open seats. Cook rates the race Lean Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor, Attorney General, and three U.S. House seats.

House: Three seats, all currently held by Republicans. One, NE-02, is rated competitive. One of the three appears below.

Map: Discussed from August to October 2025 and never enacted, short of the 33 votes needed to break a filibuster. LB 1 of 2021 governs. 

Senate

NE-SEN: Senator Pete Ricketts is seeking his first full six-year term after being appointed in 2023 to replace Ben Sasse and winning a 2024 special election to complete Sasse’s term. Ricketts won the Republican primary and will face independent Dan Osborn, a former industrial mechanic and labor leader who ran a competitive independent campaign against Senator Deb Fischer in 2024. Osborn is again running without a party affiliation and has built a multimillion-dollar campaign. Democrat Cindy Burbank initially won her party’s nomination but later withdrew, and the Nebraska Democratic Party chose not to replace her, effectively clearing the Democratic ballot line as Osborn emerged as the principal alternative to Ricketts. Cook rates the race Likely Republican. 

House

NE-02: Democrat Denise Powell and Republican Brinker Harding are competing for the open seat created by Representative Don Bacon’s retirement. The Omaha-based district is one of the few Republican-held seats Kamala Harris carried in 2024. Cook has the district at Lean Democrat. 

Governor

NE-GOV: Republican Governor Jim Pillen is seeking a second term and will face former State Senator Lynne Walz, the Democratic nominee, in the general election. Both won their May 12 primaries comfortably, and Walz carries the endorsement of Ben Nelson, the former governor and U.S. senator who in 1994 was the last Democrat elected to lead the state. The Nebraska Examiner reported in May that Walz was outpacing decades of Nebraska Democrats in fundraising, though Pillen retains a large cash advantage. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

Attorney General

NE-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Mike Hilgers is seeking a second term after winning in 2022 in a race no Democrat contested. Hilgers served six years in the Nebraska Legislature, the last two as its Speaker, before becoming attorney general. He ran uncontested in the Republican primary and will face Jocelyn Brasher, a former assistant attorney general, who ran uncontested in the Democratic primary. Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists the race as Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Governor, Attorney General (open seat), and four U.S. House seats.

House: Four seats, currently held by one Republican and three Democrats. One, NV-03, is rated competitive. One of the four appears below. 

House

NV-03: Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee will face Republican Marty O’Donnell in November. The district is the most closely divided in Nevada, carried by President Trump by under a point in 2024, and the two are almost evenly matched financially. The district is rated Lean Democrat by Cook. 

Governor

NV-GOV: Republican Governor Joe Lombardo is seeking a second term in a state President Trump narrowly carried in 2024. Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford secured his party’s nomination over Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill. Cook rates this race a Toss Up. 

Attorney General

NV-AG: Attorney General Aaron Ford (D) is term-limited and running for governor, leaving an open race. Senate Majority Leader Nicole Cannizzaro won the Democratic nomination over State Treasurer Zach Conine. On the Republican side, Adriana Guzmán Fralick, a Reno attorney and former chair of the Nevada Cannabis Compliance Board, won with President Trump’s endorsement over Douglas County Commissioner Danny Tarkanian, a three-time congressional candidate and son of the UNLV basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Leans Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor, and two U.S. House seats.

House: Two seats, both currently held by Democrats. None is rated competitive. One of the two appears below.

Map: A mid-decade bill was withdrawn and the governor ruled out a redraw. The 2022 special-master map governs. 

Senate

NH-SEN: The retirement of Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen created an open seat in a closely divided state. Representative Chris Pappas defeated progressive challenger Karishma Manzur for the Democratic nomination in the September 8 primary. Former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu, brother of former Governor Chris Sununu, won the Republican nomination over former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown. Pappas has raised substantially more than Sununu, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up. 

House

NH-01: Representative Chris Pappas’s Senate campaign created an open seat in a district Kamala Harris carried narrowly. Stefany Shaheen, daughter of retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, won the Democratic primary over Maura Sullivan and Carleigh Beriont. Anthony DiLorenzo won the Republican primary over Hollie Noveletsky. The district is rated Likely Democrat by Cook. 

Governor

NH-GOV: Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte is seeking a second term after winning the governorship in 2024. She won the September 8 Republican primary over agriculturalist Shaun Fife and welder Bob Wayne McClory, and will face Democrat Cinde Warmington, a former Executive Councilor and health care attorney who ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Cook rates this race Likely Republican.

On the ballot: Senate and 12 U.S. House seats.

House: Twelve seats, currently held by three Republicans and nine Democrats. One, NJ-07, is rated competitive. One of the 12 appears below. 

Senate

NJ-SEN: Democratic Senator Cory Booker is seeking another term in a state that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent federal elections. Former committeeman Justin Murphy secured the Republican nomination after a primary that also included Dr. Robert Lebovics, New Jersey State Trooper Richard Tabor, and former political reporter Alex Zdan. New Jersey’s presidential margin narrowed in 2024, but Booker enters the general election with significant advantages in name recognition and fundraising, and Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

House

NJ-07: Four Democrats competed for the nomination to challenge Republican incumbent Representative Thomas Kean Jr. Kean, is seeking a third term, last voted on March 5 before missing every roll call for nearly four months while being treated for depression, a condition he disclosed on returning to Congress at the end of June. He will face Democratic primary winner Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot. The district is among the most closely divided in the country. Bennett has nearly matched Kean’s fundraising with substantial outside support, and Cook rates the race a Lean Democrat.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General, and three U.S. House seats.

House: Three seats, all currently held by Democrats. One, NM-02, is rated competitive. One of the three appears below. 

Senate

NM-SEN: Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured renomination with little opposition and is seeking a second term. The Republican field failed to produce a candidate for the primary ballot after the only Republican to file, Christopher Vanden Heuvel, was disqualified for submitting too few valid signatures, leaving the party to nominate Larry E. Marker through New Mexico’s declared write-in primary. Marker cleared the 2,351-vote threshold with 31,220 write-in votes and is the certified Republican nominee on the November ballot. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

House

NM-02: Incumbent Democratic Representative Gabriel Vasquez ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. On the Republican side, Marine Corps veteran and retired Albuquerque police detective Gregory G. Cunningham faced former Drug Enforcement Administration contractor Jose Orozco, who withdrew in April and endorsed Cunningham but remained on the ballot. Cunningham, who also received President Trump’s endorsement, won the Republican nomination and will face Vasquez in November. The southern New Mexico district is the state’s only competitive seat, and Cook rates this race Lean Democrat. 

Governor

NM-GOV: Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) is term-limited, creating an open race for governor in 2026. Democrats nominated former U.S. Interior Secretary Deb Haaland, who will face former Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull, the Republican nominee, in the general election. Cook rates this race Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

NM-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Raúl Torrez (D) is seeking a second term and will face Republican attorney Sam Kane in November. Torrez served as Bernalillo County district attorney, covering Albuquerque, from 2017 until his election as attorney general in 2022. Both ran uncontested in their primaries. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Governor, Attorney General, and 26 U.S. House seats.

House: Twenty-six seats, currently held by seven Republicans and 19 Democrats. Three are rated competitive: NY-03, NY-04 and NY-17. Seven of the 26 appear below.

Map: A mid-decade redistricting amendment received first passage on June 3, 2026. It needs second passage in 2027 and then a referendum, so it cannot take effect before 2028. The February 2024 map governs. 

House

NY-03: Representative Tom Suozzi secured renomination and will face former State Assemblyman Mike LiPetri, the party’s 2024 nominee, in a rematch. Suozzi holds one of the few Democratic seats President Trump carried in 2024. Cook lists the district as Lean Democrat.

NY-04: Incumbent Democratic Representative Laura Gillen secured renomination and will face Republican Jeanine Driscoll in November. The Long Island district was decided by about a point in the 2024 presidential race, and Gillen holds a wide fundraising advantage. The district is rated Lean Democrat by Cook.

NY-07: Following Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement, four Democrats sought to succeed her: Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, State Assemblymember and democratic socialist Claire Valdez, New York City Councilmember Julie Won, and attorney Vichal Kumar. Although Reynoso received Velázquez’s endorsement, Valdez, who was endorsed by Zohran Mamdani, won the primary. Community activist and tenant organizer Melvin Rivera, who had originally run as a write-in candidate in the Democratic primary before Republican clubs endorsed him, ran unopposed in the Republican primary. Cook rates this district Solid Democrat.

NY-10: Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman lost renomination in the Democratic primary to former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander by a roughly two-to-one margin. Lander was backed by Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders, while Goldman had the support of Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries. Lander will face Republican Jennifer Moore, who ran unopposed in her party’s primary, in November. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat.

NY-12: With Representative Jerry Nadler retiring, eight Democratic candidates competed to succeed him, including State Assemblymembers Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, attorney George Conway, and Jack Schlossberg, grandson of President John F. Kennedy. Lasher, who received endorsements from Nadler and Governor Kathy Hochul, won the crowded primary narrowly over Bores. Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg funded a supporting super PAC, and the race drew the heaviest outside spending of any House primary this cycle. New York City lawyer Caroline Shinkle ran unopposed in the Republican primary. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat.

NY-13: Five-term incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat was defeated by community organizer Darializa Avila Chevalier. Avila Chevalier, who was endorsed by Zohran Mamdani, will face New York City activist Manuel “Jomo” Williams, an Army veteran and paralegal who has run for New York City Council. The Republican primary was canceled and Williams advanced unopposed; he also carries a Conservative Party cross-endorsement. The district is rated Solid Democrat by Cook.

NY-17: Five Democrats competed for the nomination, with Army veteran and former Biden administration official Cait Conley defeating Rockland County legislator Beth Davidson and the other candidates. Conley will face incumbent Republican Representative Mike Lawler in the November general election. Lawler’s seat is one of a handful of Republican-held districts that Kamala Harris carried in 2024, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up.

Governor

NY-GOV: Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul, unopposed in the June 23 Democratic primary, is seeking another term and will face Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman in the general election. Blakeman cleared the Republican field in December 2025, when Representative Elise Stefanik abandoned her own campaign for governor and announced she would not seek reelection to the House. Blakeman was re-elected Nassau County executive by eight points a month earlier, as Republicans swept county-level offices there. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

NY-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Letitia James is seeking a third term and will face Republican Saritha Komatireddy, who spent more than a decade as an assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of New York and served as chief of staff at the Drug Enforcement Administration. President Trump, who nominated Komatireddy to the federal bench in 2020, endorsed her campaign in August. The race is Safe Democratic on the Crystal Ball’s ratings.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat) and 14 U.S. House seats.

House: Fourteen seats, currently held by ten Republicans and four Democrats. Two are rated competitive: NC-01 and NC-11. Two of the 14 appear below.

Map: North Carolina lawmakers approved a mid-decade congressional redraw in October 2025, changing the boundaries of Districts 1 and 3 while leaving the other 12 districts unchanged. A federal court declined to block the new map in November, and the challengers dismissed their remaining claims in January 2026. The 2025 map is in effect for this year’s elections.

Senate

NC-SEN: The retirement of Republican Senator Thom Tillis created an open seat and one of this cycle’s top contests. Former Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley and former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper have won their primaries, making them their respective parties’ nominees. Cooper served two terms as governor and left office in January 2025. Cook rates this race Lean Democrat. 

House

NC-01: Incumbent Democratic Representative Don Davis will face U.S. Army veteran Laurie Buckhout in a rematch of their 2024 contest. Buckhout won the Republican primary narrowly over Carteret County Sheriff Asa Buck and three other candidates. Redistricting rebuilt the district from roughly two-thirds of Davis’s current seat and a third of the neighboring 3^rd district, leaving him defending territory President Trump carried by double digits. Outside groups have spent heavily supporting Buckhout, and Cook rates the race Lean Republican.

NC-11: Representative Chuck Edwards suspended his reelection campaign after the House Ethics Committee concluded there was substantial reason to believe he violated House rules on sexual harassment and hostile workplaces and recommended that he be censured. The state Republican party’s district committee selected State Representative Jennifer Balkcom to replace him on the November ballot. Fourth-generation farmer Jamie Ager had already won the Democratic nomination comfortably over physician Richard Hudspeth and three other candidates. President Trump carried the western North Carolina district, and Cook rates the race Toss Up.

On the ballot: Attorney General and one U.S. House seat.

House: One seat, currently held by a Republican. It is not rated competitive, and no North Dakota House race appears below.

Attorney General

ND-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Drew Wrigley is seeking a second full term in a rematch with Democratic Grand Forks-based attorney Tim Lamb, whom he defeated in 2022. Wrigley, a former U.S. attorney for North Dakota and lieutenant governor, was appointed to the office in February 2022 after the unexpected death of his predecessor, Wayne Stenehjem. Wrigley defeated Lamb by a wide margin in 2022, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and 15 U.S. House seats.

House: Fifteen seats, currently held by ten Republicans and five Democrats. Three are rated competitive: OH-01, OH-07 and OH-09. Three of the 15 appear below.

Map: Ohio was the only state legally required to redraw for 2026, because its 2022 map passed without bipartisan support and expired after four years. The Ohio Redistricting Commission adopted a replacement unanimously on October 31, 2025. Because the vote was bipartisan, the plan runs for the decade and, unlike a map passed as a bill, is not subject to referendum.  

Senate

OH-SEN: Republican Senator Jon Husted is running in a special election for the final two years of the term after being appointed to the seat following Vice President J.D. Vance’s departure to the White House. Husted enters the race with statewide electoral experience as Ohio’s Lieutenant Governor and, before that, two terms as Secretary of State. Democrats recruited former Senator Sherrod Brown, who lost his reelection bid in 2024, setting up one of the cycle’s high-profile contests. Cook rates the race a Toss Up. 

House

OH-01: Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Landsman will face Republican Eric Conroy, an Air Force veteran and former CIA officer, in November. Redistricting made the Cincinnati-area seat more favorable for Republicans, and President Trump would have carried it narrowly on the new lines. Cook rates the district Lean Democrat.

OH-07: Incumbent Republican Representative Max Miller will face Democrat Brian Poindexter in November. Miller enters the general election under heightened scrutiny after his ex-wife accused him of domestic abuse, allegations he has denied. Outside groups have spent more supporting Poindexter than his campaign has raised. President Trump carried the district by double digits on the state’s new lines, though Cook rates the race a Toss Up.

OH-09: Representative Marcy Kaptur, seeking a 23rd term, will face Republican Derek Merrin in a rematch. Merrin emerged from a five-candidate primary ahead of state Representative Josh Williams and former Immigration and Customs Enforcement deputy director Madison Sheahan. Redistricting made the northwest Ohio seat considerably more Republican, and Kaptur, the longest-serving woman in the history of Congress, faces the most difficult race of her career. The district is a Toss Up on Cook’s ratings. 

Governor

OH-GOV: Governor Mike DeWine’s term limit created an open race in a state that has trended increasingly Republican in recent cycles. Entrepreneur and former 2024 presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy secured the Republican nomination to face Amy Acton, a physician who served as DeWine’s director of the Ohio Department of Health and led the state’s COVID-19 response. Cook rates this race a Toss Up. 

Attorney General

OH-AG: Attorney General Dave Yost (R) was term-limited, so the seat was already open when he resigned effective June 7 to join Alliance Defending Freedom. Governor Mike DeWine appointed Public Safety Director Andy Wilson to the seat. State Auditor Keith Faber won the Republican nomination uncontested. He will face John Kulewicz, a retired litigator and Upper Arlington city councilmember, who won the Democratic primary over former state representative Elliot Forhan. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Likely Republican.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and five U.S. House seats.

House: Five seats, all currently held by Republicans. None is rated competitive. No Oklahoma House race appears below. 

Senate

OK-SEN: Senator Markwayne Mullin was confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security earlier this year after Secretary Noem’s exit. Governor Kevin Stitt appointed Williams Companies executive Alan S. Armstrong on March 24th, but state law bars him from seeking the full term. Representative Kevin Hern, endorsed by President Trump early in the race, won the Republican nomination. On the Democratic side, N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a Chickasaw citizen, defeated lawyer and minister Jim Priest in an August 25th runoff, becoming the first self-described democratic socialist to win a statewide nomination in Oklahoma. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

Governor

OK-GOV: Governor Kevin Stitt (R) is term-limited, creating an open gubernatorial contest. Former State Senator Mike Mazzei and Attorney General Gentner Drummond emerged from a nine-candidate June primary, each with about a quarter of the vote, and Mazzei won the August 25th runoff by roughly 2,000 votes. President Trump endorsed Mazzei in May and reaffirmed it before the runoff. Mazzei will face Democratic Oklahoma House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson, who won her primary outright in June, in the general election. The race is rated Solid Republican by Cook. 

Attorney General

OK-AG: Attorney General Gentner Drummond’s run for governor created an open race to succeed him. Jon Echols, who spent twelve years in the Oklahoma House and eight as its majority floor leader, won the Republican nomination over Jeff Starling. He will face Democrat Nick Coffey, a former federal prosecutor who spent seven years as an assistant U.S. attorney in Oklahoma City. The Crystal Ball rates this race Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor, and six U.S. House seats.

House: Six seats, currently held by one Republican and five Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Oregon House race appears below. 

Senate

OR-SEN: Senator Jeff Merkley is seeking reelection and won the Democratic primary overwhelmingly. Merkley will face Republican nominee David Brock Smith, who currently serves as an Oregon state senator. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

Governor

OR-GOV: Democratic Governor Tina Kotek is seeking a second term and will again face Republican State Senator Christine Drazan, her 2022 opponent. Kotek won that race narrowly in a three-way contest in which independent Betsy Johnson, a former Democrat, drew a significant share of the vote. Oregon has not elected a Republican governor since Vic Atiyeh’s re-election in 1982, a run of eleven consecutive Democratic wins. Cook rates the race Lean Democrat.

On the ballot: Governor and 17 U.S. House seats.

House: Seventeen seats, currently held by ten Republicans and seven Democrats. Three are rated competitive: PA-07, PA-08 and PA-10. Four of the 17 appear below.

House

PA-01: Incumbent Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick will face Robert Harvie, a sitting Bucks County commissioner and vice chair of the county board, in November. Fitzpatrick holds one of the few Republican seats that Kamala Harris carried in 2024. The district is rated Likely Republican by Cook.

PA-07: Retired Bethlehem firefighter Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, won the Democratic nomination and will face first-term Republican Representative Ryan Mackenzie. Outside groups have spent heavily on Brooks’s behalf. President Trump carried the Lehigh Valley district narrowly, and Cook rates it a Toss Up.

PA-08: Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti won the Democratic nomination and will face first-term Republican Representative Rob Bresnahan, who flipped the northeastern Pennsylvania seat in 2024. Bresnahan has faced criticism over stock trades made while serving in Congress. Cognetti has nearly matched him financially and carries national party backing. President Trump carried the district in 2024, and Cook rates it a Toss Up.

PA-10: Former television news anchor Janelle Stelson won the Democratic nomination and will face Representative Scott Perry in a rematch of their 2024 contest, which Perry won by a little over five thousand votes. Stelson has out-raised the incumbent. President Trump carried the south-central Pennsylvania district, and Cook rates it a Toss Up. 

Governor

PA-GOV: President Trump carried Pennsylvania by less than two points in 2024, the third consecutive presidential election there decided by under two points. Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro nonetheless enters his reelection campaign after winning the governorship by 15 percentage points in 2022. State Treasurer Stacy Garrity secured the Republican nomination, and both she and Shapiro were unopposed in the May 19 primary. The race is rated Solid Democrat by Cook.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and two U.S. House seats.

House: Two seats, both currently held by Democrats. None is rated competitive. No Rhode Island House race appears below. 

Senate

RI-SEN: Senator Jack Reed is seeking reelection and won the September 9 Democratic primary over progressive small business owner Connor Burbridge and Dr. Luis Daniel Muñoz. He will face Raymond McKay, who was unopposed in the Republican primary. Cook rates this race Solid Democrat. 

Governor

RI-GOV: Businesswoman Helena Foulkes defeated Democratic Governor Dan McKee in the September 9 primary, reversing their 2022 primary, which McKee narrowly won. McKee is the first governor in the country to lose renomination since 2018, and his defeat leaves the seat open. Foulkes is a former CVS executive and a niece of former U.S. Senator Chris Dodd. In the Republican primary, Aaron Guckian, executive director of the Rhode Island Dental Association and the state party’s endorsed candidate, finished 259 votes ahead of former actress Elaine Pelino in the Board of Elections’ unofficial count. A recount on September 15, in which the Board reread the voting machines’ memory devices, did not change the count. Rhode Island has not elected a Republican governor since 2006. Cook rates the race Solid Democrat. 

Attorney General

RI-AG: Attorney General Peter Neronha is term-limited, creating an open race. Kim Ahern, a former prosecutor who chaired the state Cannabis Control Commission, won the four-way September 9 Democratic primary, finishing ahead of former Assistant Attorney General Keith Hoffmann, with State Representatives Joseph Solomon Jr. and Jason Knight trailing. She will face Republican Alan Gordon, who was unopposed, in a seat Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), Attorney General (open seat), and seven U.S. House seats.

House: Seven seats, currently held by six Republicans and one Democrat. None is rated competitive. No South Carolina House race appears below.

Map: The Senate rejected a redistricting call twice, on May 12 and again on May 26, 2026. The 2022 map, upheld in Alexander v. South Carolina NAACP, governs. 

Senate

SC-SEN: Following Senator Lindsey Graham’s death on July 11th, ten candidates competed to earn the Republican nomination. Governor Henry McMaster appointed Graham’s sister, Darline Graham, to serve the remainder of his term, making her the first woman to represent South Carolina in the Senate. She and Representative Ralph Norman (R-SC-05) led the August 11th special primary, neither reaching the majority needed to win outright. In the August 25th runoff, Graham defeated Norman to win the Republican nomination. She will face Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, a pediatrician in November. The race is Likely Republican by Cook. 

Governor

SC-GOV: Governor Henry McMaster’s term limit created an open race. Attorney General Alan Wilson and Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette emerged from a four-way Republican field that also included Representatives Nancy Mace and Ralph Norman. Wilson won the June 23rd runoff decisively. President Trump endorsed Evette in May, then endorsed both candidates before the runoff. Wilson will face Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative and former professional basketball player, in November in a race rated Solid Republican by cook. 

Attorney General

SC-AG: Attorney General Alan Wilson’s campaign for governor created an open race to succeed him. David Stumbo, the elected solicitor for the Eighth Judicial Circuit, trailed State Senator Stephen Goldfinch in the June primary before winning the runoff two weeks later. He will face Richard Hricik, a Charleston-area trial and appellate attorney who ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor, Attorney General (open seat), and one U.S. House seat.

House: One seat, currently held by a Republican. It is not rated competitive, and no South Dakota House race appears below. 

Senate

SD-SEN: Senator Mike Rounds is seeking a third term and won the Republican nomination on June 2. He faced a primary challenger, businessman Justin McNeal, who raised little money compared to the incumbent. Julian Beaudion, a former South Dakota state trooper, won the Democratic nomination unopposed but withdrew on August 4, and the state party declined to replace him. Rounds will instead face independent Brian Bengs, a military veteran who was the Democratic nominee in 2022. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

Governor

SD-GOV: Republican Governor Larry Rhoden is seeking election to a full term after succeeding Kristi Noemin Januarty 2025 when she became secretary of Homeland Security. He won the Republican nomination in a July 28 runoff, defeating investment executive Toby Doeden comfortably. The runoff was the first gubernatorial runoff since South Dakota adopted its 35% primary threshold in 1985; Doeden and Rhoden had finished first and second in the June 2 primary, while at-large Representative Dusty Johnson, who gave up his House seat to run, finished third. Rhoden will face Dan Ahlers, the state Democratic Party’s executive director, in the general election. Cook has the race at Solid Republican. 

Attorney General

SD-AG: Attorney General Marty Jackley’s campaign for the U.S. House created an open race to succeed him. South Dakota selects attorney general nominees at party conventions rather than by primary, and Lance Russell, a former state senator who is now state’s attorney for Fall River and Oglala Lakota counties, secured the nomination eight years after losing the same convention vote. Democrats nominated no one, leaving Russell unopposed on the November ballot. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Republican.

On the ballot: Senate, Governor (open seat), and nine U.S. House seats.

House: Nine seats, currently held by eight Republicans and one Democrat. None is rated competitive. Two of the nine appear below.

Map: Tennessee adopted a new congressional map on May 7, eight days after the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision. The new map splits Memphis and Shelby County among three districts, eliminating the state’s only majority-Black congressional district. A federal court declined to block the map before the 2026 elections, so it remains in effect while the underlying legal challenge continues. 

Senate

TN-SEN: Incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty won the Republican primary without a challenger. Environmental justice activist Marquita Bradshaw emerged from a five-candidate Democratic field and will face Hagerty in the general election, a rematch of 2020, when Hagerty beat her by about 27 points. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

House

TN-05: Former Tennessee Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated Trump-endorsed incumbent Representative Andy Ogles in the Republican primary to secure the Republican nomination. Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder won the Democratic nomination. Hatcher, who was backed by Governor Bill Lee, handed a Trump-endorsed Republican incumbent a rare primary defeat. The newly drawn district favors Republicans, though Molder has out-raised him. The district is rated Solid Republican by Cook.

TN-09: State Representative Justin Pearson secured the Democratic nomination, while State Senator Brent Taylor won the Republican nomination. The matchup represents a major test of Tennessee’s new congressional map, which divided the former majority-Black, Memphis-based district among three districts that lean Republican. Pearson now faces an uphill race against Trump-endorsed Taylor in a district President Trump carried comfortably in 2024. Cook rates the district Solid Republican. 

Governor

TN-GOV: Governor Bill Lee (R) is term-limited, leaving an open race for governor. U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn won the August 6th Republican primary over Representative John Rose and State Representative Monty Fritts, while Memphis City Council Member Jerri Green emerged from a five-candidate field that included museum president Carnita Atwater. Blackburn and Green will face each other in November, marking the first time both major parties have nominated women for governor in Tennessee; either would become the state’s first woman governor if elected. Independent candidates will also appear on the ballot. Cook rates the race Solid Republican.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor, Attorney General (open seat), and 38 U.S. House seats.

House: Thirty-eight seats, currently held by 25 Republicans and 13 Democrats. Four are rated competitive: TX-15, TX-28, TX-34, and TX-35. Four of the 38 appear below.

Map: Texas lawmakers adopted a new congressional map in August 2025 for use beginning with the 2026 elections. A federal court initially blocked the map, but the Supreme Court allowed it to take effect in December and, on April 27, 2026, reversed the lower court’s ruling in Abbott v. LULAC. The 2025 map is therefore in place for this year’s elections.  

Senate

TX-SEN: Following the March 3rd Republican primary, incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton moved to a May 26 runoff after neither cleared 50%. Representative Wesley Hunt took third place. President Trump endorsed Paxton a week before the runoff, and Paxton won. He will face Texas state representative James Talarico, who won the Democratic nomination outright on March 3 against U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett. Cook rates this race as a Toss Up. 

House

TX-15: Two-term Republican Representative Monica De La Cruz will face Tejano music star Bobby Pulido, who won the Democratic nomination. TX-15 is the most Republican of the three South Texas seats by presidential vote, carried by President Trump by a wide margin in 2024 after he won it only narrowly in 2020. The district is rated Toss Up by Cook.

TX-28: Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar secured renomination and will face Republican Tano Tijerina in November. The mid-decade redraw preserved much of Cuellar’s existing South Texas base but made the district somewhat more Republican by presidential vote; Trump would have carried the new district by about 10 points in 2024. Cuellar has historically outperformed Democratic presidential candidates in the district, and Cook rates the race Lean Democrat.

TX-34: Democratic Representative Vicente Gonzalez will face Republican Eric Flores in November. Gonzalez is defending a seat President Trump carried by double digits, rebuilt from roughly half his current district and half the neighboring 27th. Outside groups have spent big supporting Flores, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up.

TX-35: The 35th was one of five Democratic-held seats dismantled by the 2025 mid-decade map, and it is now an open contest between Republican Carlos De La Cruz Jr. and Democrat Johnny Garcia, each of whom emerged from a May runoff. Representative Greg Casar, who held the old 35th, is running in the 37th. The new district draws its voters primarily from the current 28th and 15th, and President Trump would have carried it by double digits. Carlos De La Cruz Jr. is the brother of Monica De La Cruz of the 15th District. Cook rates the district Lean Republican. 

Governor

TX-GOV: Republican Governor Greg Abbott is seeking a fourth term after first being elected in 2014. He will face Democratic State Representative Gina Hinojosa, who won the March 3 primary outright over a field that included 2006 nominee Chris Bell. No Democrat has won a statewide race in Texas since 1994, the longest such streak in the country. The race is rated Lean Republican by Cook. 

Attorney General

TX-AG: Attorney General Ken Paxton’s campaign for the U.S. Senate created an open race to succeed him. State Senator Mayes Middleton, who put more than $16 million of his own money into the race, led a four-way March primary and defeated U.S. Representative Chip Roy in the May 26 runoff. State Senator Nathan Johnson won the Democratic runoff over former Galveston mayor Joe Jaworski. Middleton and Johnson will meet in November in a race rated Likely Republican by the Crystal Ball.

On the ballot: Four U.S. House seats. No statewide office is on the ballot in 2026.

House: Four seats, all currently held by Republicans. None is rated competitive. One of the four appears below.

Map: A state court ordered Utah to use a new congressional map for 2026 after finding that the Legislature’s proposed map violated voter-approved anti-gerrymandering standards. The court-selected map keeps most of Salt Lake County together in a new Democratic-leaning 1st District. The Utah Supreme Court dismissed the Legislature’s appeal, and the map remains in place for this year’s elections. 

House

UT-01: Following court-ordered redistricting of the Salt Lake City region, four Democrats competed for the nomination: former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams, tech policy expert Liban Mohamed, State Senator Nate Blouin, and tax attorney Michael Farrell. McAdams won the nomination and will face Republican Riley Owen, a Navy Reserve intelligence officer and former White House policy analyst, in November. The new first district is assembled from four existing districts and is the only Democratic-leaning seat in Utah. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat.

On the ballot: Four U.S. House seats. No statewide office is on the ballot in 2026.

House: Four seats, all currently held by Republicans. None is rated competitive. One of the four appears below.

Map: A state court ordered Utah to use a new congressional map for 2026 after finding that the Legislature’s proposed map violated voter-approved anti-gerrymandering standards. The court-selected map keeps most of Salt Lake County together in a new Democratic-leaning 1st District. The Utah Supreme Court dismissed the Legislature’s appeal, and the map remains in place for this year’s elections. 

House

UT-01: Following court-ordered redistricting of the Salt Lake City region, four Democrats competed for the nomination: former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams, tech policy expert Liban Mohamed, State Senator Nate Blouin, and tax attorney Michael Farrell. McAdams won the nomination and will face Republican Riley Owen, a Navy Reserve intelligence officer and former White House policy analyst, in November. The new first district is assembled from four existing districts and is the only Democratic-leaning seat in Utah. Cook rates the district Solid Democrat.

On the ballot: Governor, Attorney General, and one U.S. House seat.

House: One seat, currently held by a Democrat. It is not rated competitive, and no Vermont House race appears below. 

Governor

VT-GOV: Democrats narrowly selected economist Amanda Janoo over former child care advocacy group CEO Aly Richards in the August 11 Democratic primary. Janoo will challenge Republican Governor Phil Scott, who won reelection by his largest margin yet in 2024 despite Vermont’s strong Democratic lean in federal elections. Scott is seeking a sixth two-year term, and a win would make him the longest-serving governor in Vermont history. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

Attorney General

VT-AG: Incumbent Attorney General Charity Clark (D), the first woman elected to the office, is seeking a third term and secured the Democratic nomination unopposed. H. Brooke Paige initially won the Republican primary but withdrew from the race, allowing the Vermont Republican Party to select Ed Kemon as its replacement nominee. Clark and Kemon will face each other in the general election this November. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the race Safe Democratic.

On the ballot: Senate and 11 U.S. House seats.

House: Eleven seats, currently held by five Republicans and six Democrats. Two are rated competitive: VA-01 and VA-02. Three of the 11 appear below.

Map: Virginia voters approved a constitutional amendment in April 2026 that would have allowed a mid-decade congressional redraw, but the Virginia Supreme Court struck it down in May, finding that lawmakers had not followed the required amendment process. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene, leaving Virginia’s 2021 court-drawn congressional map in place for the 2026 elections.

Senate

VA-SEN: Democratic Senator Mark Warner is seeking a fourth term in a state that has continued to vote Democratic in recent federal elections. Republicans fielded an August 4th primary that included retired Army Major General Bert Mizusawa, accountant Kim Farington, and Marine Corps Reserves officer David Williams. Mizusawa won the Republican primary ahead of Williams and Farington and faces Senator Warner in the general election in November. Senator Warner has stated that this next Senate term will be his last. The race is rated Solid Democrat by Cook.

House

VA-01: Henrico County Commonwealth’s Attorney Shannon Taylor emerged from a seven-candidate Democratic field to secure the nomination. Incumbent Republican Representative Rob Wittman secured renomination unopposed. Cook rates the district Lean Republican.

VA-02: Former Representative Elaine Luria defeated Patrick Mosolf, Nila Devanath, and Bill Fleming in the Democratic primary. Incumbent Republican Representative Jen Kiggans advanced as the Republican nominee without a primary challenger. Luria will seek a rematch against Kiggans, who unseated her in 2022 following statewide redistricting. The coastal swing district is the most closely divided in Virginia, and Cook rates the race a Toss Up.

VA-07: Incumbent Democratic Representative Eugene Vindman secured renomination without a contested primary. Retired Army Lieutenant Colonel and former National Security Council official Doug Ollivant defeated Philip Harding and Rick Smithers in the Republican primary. Vindman, a first-term incumbent, holds an overwhelming fundraising advantage over Ollivant. The district combines Northern Virginia suburbs, exurbs and rural communities, and Cook rates it Likely Democrat.

On the ballot: Ten U.S. House seats. No statewide office is on the ballot in 2026.

House: Ten seats, currently held by two Republicans and eight Democrats. One, WA-03, is rated competitive. One of the ten appears below. 

House

WA-03: Democratic Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and Republican State Senate Leader John Braun advanced to the general election. The southwest Washington district supported President Trump in 2024, but Gluesenkamp Perez has won two competitive elections by cultivating a moderate and politically independent profile. Cook rates the district a Toss Up.

On the ballot: Senate and two U.S. House seats.

House: Two seats, both currently held by Republicans. None is rated competitive. No West Virginia House race appears below. 

Senate

WV-SEN: Senator Shelley Moore Capito is seeking reelection. During the primary, she had five challengers and emerged as the winner over nearest rival Tom Willis. Capito’s Democratic opponent is public interest advocate and attorney Rachel Fetty Anderson. The race is rated Solid Republican by Cook.

On the ballot: Governor (open seat), Attorney General, and eight U.S. House seats.

House: Eight seats, currently held by six Republicans and two Democrats. Two, WI-01 and WI-03, are rated competitive. Three of the eight appear below.

House

WI-01: Republican Representative Bryan Steil is seeking another term and will face emergency-room nurse Mitchell Berman. Steil won reelection by about ten points in 2024 and maintains a significant fundraising advantage, while national Democrats have added Berman to their targeted-race program. Cook rates the race Lean Republican.

WI-03: Small business owner Rebecca Cooke defeated former Eau Claire City Council President Emily Berge in the Democratic primary, while Trump-endorsed Representative Derrick Van Orden secured renomination unopposed. Cooke will face Van Orden in a rematch of their 2024 contest, which she lost by fewer than three percentage points. The western Wisconsin district is one of Democrats’ top pickup opportunities and is rated a Toss Up by Cook. 

WI-07: Former state assemblyman Fred Clark secured the Democratic nomination, while Michael Alfonso, the son-in-law of Transportation Secretary and former 7th District Representative Sean Duffy, defeated four other Republican challengers. Representative Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial campaign created an open seat in the safely Republican district. Alfonso’s victory drew national attention because the 26-year-old political newcomer launched his campaign on close ties to Duffy, who held the seat from 2011 until his resignation in 2019, and later won President Trump’s endorsement. Outside groups have spent more supporting Alfonso than his own campaign has raised. Cook rates the district Solid Republican. 

Governor

WI-GOV: Democratic Governor Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term created an open race. Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley won the August 11 Democratic primary by less than half a point, 39.8% to 39.3%, over State Representative Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist backed by local DSA chapters. The field also included Lieutenant Governor Sara Rodriguez and former Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, both of whom withdrew in July. Representative Tom Tiffany won the Republican nomination after President Trump endorsed him in January and his main rival, Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann, withdrew. Cook rates this race a Toss Up. 

Attorney General

WI-AG: Attorney General Josh Kaul is seeking a third term after first being elected in 2018. He was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and will again face Fond du Lac County District Attorney Eric Toney, a rematch of a 2022 contest Kaul won by just 1.3 points. The race is rated Leans Democratic by the Crystal Ball.

On the ballot: Senate (open seat), Governor (open seat), and one U.S. House seat.

House: One seat, currently held by a Republican. It is not rated competitive, and no Wyoming House race appears below. 

Senate

WY-SEN: Senator Cynthia Lummis’ retirement created an open seat. Representative Harriet Hageman, who first entered Congress after defeating Liz Cheney in the 2022 Republican primary, won the Republican nomination. She also received an endorsement from President Trump. Hageman will face Democratic nominee James Byrd, a former state representative from Cheyenne, in the general election. Cook rates the race Solid Republican. 

Governor

WY-GOV: Governor Mark Gordon announced in April that he would not seek a third term, creating an open race. State Senator Eric Barlow, a former Speaker of the Wyoming House, won the August 18 Republican primary, emerging froma four-way field. He defeated Trump-endorsed State Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder. Barlow will face perennial Democratic candidate Ken Casner and Constitution Party candidate Rebecca Bextel in the general election. Cook lists the race as Solid Republican.