Pardon Our Dust
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The 118th Congress will be divided when it convenes in January 2023. After the 2022 midterm elections, Democrats will retain control of the Senate and the Republicans will control the House.
On November 15, 2022, House Republicans nominated Representative Kevin McCarthy as Speaker, defeating Representative Andy Biggs 188-31. To officially become Speaker, Representative McCarthy needs 218 votes from the full House when it convenes in January 2023.
On November 16, 2022, the Senate Republican caucus reelected Senator Mitch McConnell as their leader. Senate Democrats are expected to host their leadership conference on December 8th and will reelect Senator Chuck Schumer as Majority Leader.
Because Congress will be divided, we expect significant action within the Committees. Here is a summary of the expected Senate and House congressional and committee leadership next Congress.
Senate Leadership Outlook |
|||
Title |
Majority |
Minority |
Notes |
Leader |
Chuck Schumer (D-NY)* |
Mitch McConnell (R-KY) |
*Democrats are expected to hold leadership elections December 8th |
President Pro Tempore |
Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) |
– |
Sen. Schumer has announced that he will nominate Sen. Murray to serve as Senate President Pro Tempore following Sen. Leahy’s retirement. |
Whip |
Dick Durbin (D-IL)* |
John Thune (R-SD) |
Unchanged. |
Policy Chair |
Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)* |
Joni Ernst (R-IA) |
Former Republican Policy Chair Roy Blunt is retiring. |
Conference Chair |
Chuck Schumer (D-NY)* |
John Barrasso (R-WY) |
Unchanged. |
Conference Vice Chair |
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)* |
Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV) |
Sen. Capito steps into the role following Sen. Ernst move to Policy Chair. |
Steering Committee |
Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) |
– |
Sen. Klobuchar has not disclosed if she will remain chair of the committee. |
Potential Senate Committee Leadership Outlook |
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Committee |
Committee Chair |
Committee Ranking Member |
Notes |
Aging |
Bob Casey (D-PA) |
Mike Braun (R-IN) |
Former Ranking Member Sen. Tim Scott is expected to be the Ranking Member of Banking. Sen. Braun is next in line. |
Agriculture |
Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) |
John Boozman (R-AR) |
Sen. Klobuchar is next in line if Sen. Stabenow decides not to be chair of the committee. |
Appropriations |
Patty Murray (D-WA) |
Susan Collins (R-ME) |
Sen. Murray has seniority following the retirement of Sen. Leahy. With former Ranking Member Sen. Shelby retiring, Sen. Collins is next in line for Ranking Member. |
Armed Services |
Jack Reed (D-RI) |
Roger Wicker (R-MS) |
With former Ranking Member Sen. Inhofe retiring, Sen. Wicker is next in line for Ranking Member. |
Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs |
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) |
Tim Scott (R-SC) |
With former Ranking Member Sen. Toomey retiring, Sen. Tim Scott is next in line for Ranking Member. |
Budget |
Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) |
Lindsey Graham (R-SC) |
Sen. Sanders is expected to chair the HELP committee. Sen. Whitehouse is the next senior-most member. |
Commerce |
Maria Cantwell (D-WA) |
Ted Cruz (R-TX) |
With former Ranking Member Sen. Blunt retiring and Sen. Thune expected to become Whip, Sen. Cruz is next in line for Ranking Member. |
Energy and Natural Resources |
Joe Manchin (D-WV) |
John Barrasso (R-WY) |
Unchanged. |
Environment and Public Works |
Tom Carper (D-DE) |
Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV) |
Unchanged. |
Ethics |
Chris Coons (D-DE) |
James Lankford (R-OK) |
With Sen. Paul choosing Homeland Security, Sen. Lankford is in line to remain as the Ranking Member of the Ethics committee. |
Finance |
Ron Wyden (D-OR) |
Mike Crapo (R-ID) |
Unchanged. |
Foreign Relations |
Bob Menendez (D-NJ) |
James Risch (R-ID) |
Unchanged. |
Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) |
Bernie Sanders (I-VT) |
Bill Cassidy (R-LA) |
Sen. Sanders has voiced preference on chairing the HELP committee. Sen. Paul has announced he will pass on becoming the Ranking Member of HELP. With Sen. Burr retiring, Sen. Cassidy is next in line. |
Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs |
Gary Peters (D-MI) |
Rand Paul (R-KY) |
Sen. Paul announced he will take the ranking Republican seat on the committee, passing on the health committee’s top spot in favor of one that could give him a broader oversight perch. |
Indian Affairs |
Brian Schatz (D-HI) |
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)* |
*Pending Alaska election results. Sen. Hoeven is next in line. |
Intelligence |
Mark Warner (D-VA) |
Marco Rubio (R-FL) |
Unchanged. |
International Narcotics Council |
Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) |
John Cornyn (R-TX) |
With Sen. Whitehouse and Sen. Sanders chairing other committees, Sen. Blumenthal is next in line. |
Judiciary |
Dick Durbin (D-IL) |
Chuck Grassley (R-IA) |
Unchanged. |
Rules and Administration |
Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) |
Deb Fischer (R-NE) |
With Former Ranking Member Sen. Blunt retiring, Sen. Fischer is next in line. |
Small Business |
Ben Cardin (D-MD) |
Joni Ernst (R-IA) |
Unchanged. |
Veterans’ Affairs |
Jon Tester (D-MT) |
Jerry Moran (R-KS) |
Unchanged. |
House Leadership Outlook |
|||
Title |
Majority |
Minority |
Notes |
Speaker |
Kevin McCarthy (R-CA)* |
– |
*Needs 218 votes from full House. Election will be held January 3, 2023. |
Leader |
Steve Scalise (R-LA) |
TBD* |
*Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) is expected to be the front-runner to lead House Democrats. |
Whip |
Tom Emmer (R-MN) |
TBD* |
*Possible candidates include Katherine Clark (D-MA) and Pramila Jayapal (D-WA). |
Potential House Committee Leadership Outlook |
|||
Committee |
Committee Chair |
Committee Ranking Member |
Notes |
Agriculture |
G.T Thompson (R-PA) |
David Scott (D-GA) |
|
Appropriations |
Kay Granger (R-TX) |
TBD |
Rosa DeLauro (D-CT) has declared her intention to run for Ranking, but Rep. Hoyer may reclaim this position when no longer in leadership. |
Armed Services |
Mike Rogers (R-AL) |
Adam Smith (D-WA) |
|
Budget |
TBD |
Brian Higgins (D-NY) |
Potential Chair candidates include Jason Smith (R-MO), Jodey Arrington (R-TX), Lloyd Smucker (R-PA), and Buddy Carter (R-GA). Potential Ranking Member alternative is Brendan Boyle (D-PA). |
Education and the Workforce |
Tim Walberg (R-MI) |
Bobby Scott (D-VA) |
Tim Walberg is most likely to receive chairmanship. Jim Banks (R-IN) is also a possibility. |
Energy and Commerce |
Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA) |
Frank Pallone (D-NJ) |
|
Ethics |
Michael Guest (R-MS) |
TBD |
|
Financial Services |
Patrick McHenry (R-NC) |
Maxine Waters (D-CA) |
|
Foreign Affairs |
Michael McCaul (R-TX) |
Gregory Meeks (D-NY) |
Homeland Security |
TBD |
Bennie Thompson (D-MS) |
Potential Chair candidates include Dan Crenshaw (R-TX), Mark Green (R-TN), Clay Higgins (R-LA), Kat Cammack (R-FL), and Dan Bishop (R-NC). |
House Administration |
TBD |
Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) |
Potential Chair candidates include Bryan Steil (R-WI) and Barry Loudermilk (R-GA). |
Judiciary |
Jim Jordan (R-OH) |
Jerrold Nadler (D-NY) |
|
Natural Resources |
Bruce Westerman (R-AR) |
Raul M. Grijalva (D-AZ) |
|
Oversight and Reform |
Jim Comer (R-KY) |
TBD |
Potential Ranking Member candidates include Stephen Lynch (D-MA), Gerald Connolly (D-VA), and Jamie Raskin (D-MD). |
Rules |
Tom Cole (R-OK) |
Jim McGovern (D-MA) |
|
Science, Space and Technology |
Frank Lucas (R-OK) |
TBD |
Potential Ranking Member candidates include Zoe Lofgren (D-CA), Suzanne Bonamici (D-OR), and Haley Stevens (D-MI). |
Small Business |
Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-MO) |
Nydia Velazquez (D-NY) |
If needed, Chair alternatives include Roger Williams (R-TX) and Pete Stauber (R-MN). |
Transportation and Infrastructure |
Sam Graves (R-MO) |
TBD |
Potential Ranking Member candidates include Eleanor Holmes Norton (D-D.C) and Rick Larsen (D-WA). |
Veterans’ Affairs |
Mike Bost (R-IL) |
Mark Takano (D-CA) |
|
Ways and Means |
TBD |
Richard Neal (D-MA) |
Potential Chair candidates include Adrian Smith (R-NE), Vern Buchanan (R-FL), and Jason Smith (R-MO). |
Intelligence |
Mike Turner (R-OH) |
Adam Schiff (D-CA) |
|
Republican Study Committee |
Kevin Hern (R-OK) |
N/A |
Potential Chair alternative is Jim Banks (R-IN). |